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Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
Foretrace AI research
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Choose a market to analyze 1 eligible question · Evidence required
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$484.9K
Liquidity$13.9K
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
2 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
December 31Accepting ordersMarket odds9.5%
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?
Yes9.5%Polymarket estimate
No90.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $14.2K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 9.0¢ / 10.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.