Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change by December 31?

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Choose a market to analyze 1 open question · Evidence required

24h volume$313.4

Total volume$1.9K

Liquidity$900.6

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

Price history

Market probability

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Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change by December 31?Accepting ordersMarket odds52.5%

Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change by December 31?

Yes52.5%Polymarket estimate

No47.5%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $902.5
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 42.0¢ / 63.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Natus Vincere's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Natus Vincere" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/4608/natus-vincere#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: b1t, Aleksib, iM, w0nderful, makazze. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.