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Will Nancy Pelosi retire before July?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$7.7K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJun 30, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Nancy Pelosi retire before July?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 30, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 1.3¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nancy Pelosi resigns from her seat as United States Representative for California's 11th Congressional District by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement from Pelosi that she is resigning before her term is up will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced resignation goes into effect. However, announcements from Pelosi that she will retire once her term ends, or that she won’t run again, or her removal through other means will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Pelosi or one of her official representatives.