
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the TSA reports a daily checkpoint throughput of more than 1,551,896 on November 27, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the date of November 27, 2025. Any subsequent revisions published to data for this date will not be considered. If no data for November 27 is published by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughput as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 10:52:46 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.