
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if MoistCr1TiKaL (penguinz0) gets a haircut in 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “haircut” refers to a clearly visible and noticeable shortening to his hair, small adjustments of an inch or two will not qualify unless they are a clear result of a haircut. Taking a little snip or minor trim on stream (or in a video) also does not count. It must be a real, substantial haircut that noticeably changes his appearance from the long hair style he's maintained. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 3:13:02 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.