Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

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Choose a market to analyze 1 open question · Evidence required

24h volume$89.9

Total volume$7.8K

Liquidity$15.6K

Event end date · UTCNov 4, 2026

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Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Accepting ordersMarket odds10.8%

Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?

Yes10.8%Polymarket estimate

No89.2%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $15.6K
Deadline · UTC: Nov 4, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 10.5¢ / 11.1¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).