Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$1.5M

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCJul 30, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds0%

Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Jul 30, 2024
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.3¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michelle Obama, former First Lady of the United States, announces that she is running for president of the United States of America in 2024 by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Michelle Obama will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed to run for president of the United States, or whether she actually files to run for president in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Michelle Obama (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or her legal representation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.