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Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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24h volume$0
Total volume$5.7K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCMar 5, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $527.3
- Deadline · UTC
- Mar 5, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Manchin (D-WV) announces that he is running for president of the United States of America in 2024, by March 5, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Joe Manchin will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed to run for president of the United States, or whether he actually files to run for president in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Joe Manchin (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his legal representation, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.