
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the independent Regulatory Commission's decision finding that Manchester City FC breached Premier League rules in the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on February 6, 2023 (commonly referred to as the "115 charges" case) is overturned in full by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The decision will count as overturned in full if the Appeal Board, or any other court or tribunal with jurisdiction, officially sets aside every finding that Manchester City FC breached Premier League rules in this case, including where the case is sent back for a new hearing. A decision that sets aside only some of the findings, or that only reduces or changes the sanctions imposed, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Premier League, the independent Regulatory Commission, the Appeal Board, or Manchester City FC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 4:46:14 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.