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Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
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24h volume$0
Total volume$35.3K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2023
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2023
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mahmoud Abbas remains in power as the President of the State of Palestine and the Palestinian National Authority until 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2023. "In power" is defined as Abbas still officially holding the office of the President of Palestine, as confirmed by reliable sources such as verified news outlets or official Palestinian government statements. If Abbas is no longer holding the office for any reason, including death, resignation, or removal, by the stated date, the market will resolve to "No". If Abbas departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.