
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of the LAPTOP token surpasses that of Official Trump (TRUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The LAPTOP token referenced in this market is LAPTOP, the token announced by Hunter Biden for launch on Base, as identified by the token's official channels (https://x.com/Laptoptoken) and confirmed by Hunter Biden or his official representatives. The token's launch (TGE) is defined as the first time the token is actively and publicly tradable. If the LAPTOP token has not launched (i.e., become actively and publicly tradable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No", regardless of the specified date. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/official-trump for TRUMP and, once listed, the CoinGecko page for LAPTOP. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, other credible and publicly verifiable sources will be used instead.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of the LAPTOP token surpasses that of Official Trump (TRUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The LAPTOP token referenced in this market is LAPTOP, the token announced by Hunter Biden for launch on Base, as identified by the token's official channels (https://x.com/Laptoptoken) and confirmed by Hunter Biden or his official representatives. The token's launch (TGE) is defined as the first time the token is actively and publicly tradable. If the LAPTOP token has not launched (i.e., become actively and publicly tradable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No", regardless of the specified date. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/official-trump for TRUMP and, once listed, the CoinGecko page for LAPTOP. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, other credible and publicly verifiable sources will be used instead.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of the LAPTOP token surpasses that of Official Trump (TRUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The LAPTOP token referenced in this market is LAPTOP, the token announced by Hunter Biden for launch on Base, as identified by the token's official channels (https://x.com/Laptoptoken) and confirmed by Hunter Biden or his official representatives. The token's launch (TGE) is defined as the first time the token is actively and publicly tradable. If the LAPTOP token has not launched (i.e., become actively and publicly tradable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No", regardless of the specified date. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/official-trump for TRUMP and, once listed, the CoinGecko page for LAPTOP. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, other credible and publicly verifiable sources will be used instead.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 6:27:27 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.