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Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House by Nov 30?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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24h volume$0
Total volume$6.4K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCNov 30, 2023
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House by Nov 30?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 30, 2023
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kevin McCarthy announces his resignation from his position as a member of the US House of Representatives by 11:59 PM ET, November 30, 2023. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, a resignation is defined as Kevin McCarthy formally announcing his intention to step down, or his resignation being reported by a reputable source, such as a government website or major news outlet. Note that if he announces he will resign from the House by the resolution date it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when or if the resignation actually occurs.