
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai win their “Super Mario Bros.” challenge by 12:00 PM ET on June 26, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the stream on https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2F7LwtY43PE. If the challenge is cancelled or abandoned before completion, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution sourceRetrieved 10/4/2026, 4:25:46 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.