
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on April 1, 2023, 12 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, at the time of this market's resolution, Joe Biden is the President of the United States as officially substantiated by US government sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is https://www.whitehouse.gov/; however, other official government sources may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on June 1, 2023, 12 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, at the time of this market's resolution, Joe Biden is the President of the United States as officially substantiated by US government sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is https://www.whitehouse.gov/; however, other official government sources may be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on August 1, 2023, 12 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, at the time of this market's resolution, Joe Biden is the President of the United States as officially substantiated by US government sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is https://www.whitehouse.gov/; however, other official government sources may be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on October 1, 2023, 12 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, at the time of this market's resolution, Joe Biden is the President of the United States as officially substantiated by US government sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is https://www.whitehouse.gov/; however, other official government sources may be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on December 1, 2023, 12 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, at the time of this market's resolution, Joe Biden is the President of the United States as officially substantiated by US government sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is https://www.whitehouse.gov/; however, other official government sources may be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on February 1, 2024, 12 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, at the time of this market's resolution, Joe Biden is the President of the United States as officially substantiated by US government sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is https://www.whitehouse.gov/; however, other official government sources may be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on April 1, 2024, 12 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, at the time of this market's resolution, Joe Biden is the President of the United States as officially substantiated by US government sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is https://www.whitehouse.gov/; however, other official government sources may be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis is a market on if Joe Biden will be President of the United States on June 1, 2024, 12 PM ET. This market will resolve to “Yes“ if, at the time of this market's resolution, Joe Biden is the President of the United States as officially substantiated by US government sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is https://www.whitehouse.gov/; however, other official government sources may be used.
Resolution sourceRetrieved 10/4/2026, 1:22:03 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.