
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel's Ben Gurion Airport (TLV) opens to any departures or arrivals between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" arrivals and departures from TLV must be open to scheduling by Israeli citizens or the general public and at least one civilian departure or arrival must have occurred. These conditions must be true at the same time. An announcement that TVA has reopened alone will not qualify. Rescue, repatriation, evacuation, military, humanitarian, or other special-purpose flights that are not bookable by the general public or not considered ordinary civilian flights will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be information from TVA and the Israel Airports Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel's Ben Gurion Airport (TLV) opens to any departures or arrivals between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" arrivals and departures from TLV must be open to scheduling by Israeli citizens or the general public and at least one civilian departure or arrival must have occurred. These conditions must be true at the same time. An announcement that TVA has reopened alone will not qualify. Rescue, repatriation, evacuation, military, humanitarian, or other special-purpose flights that are not bookable by the general public or not considered ordinary civilian flights will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be information from TVA and the Israel Airports Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel's Ben Gurion Airport (TLV) opens to any departures or arrivals between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" arrivals and departures from TLV must be open to scheduling by Israeli citizens or the general public and at least one civilian departure or arrival must have occurred. These conditions must be true at the same time. An announcement that TVA has reopened alone will not qualify. Rescue, repatriation, evacuation, military, humanitarian, or other special-purpose flights that are not bookable by the general public or not considered ordinary civilian flights will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be information from TVA and the Israel Airports Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:49:13 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.