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Will Israel raid another ship of the Gaza flotilla by...?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$15.7K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCOct 15, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
2 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Will Israel raid another ship of the Gaza flotilla by October 15?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 15, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The Freedom Flotilla Coalition, which organized the first Global Sumud Flotilla intercepted by Israel, has now launched a second wave of ships under the Conscience / Thousand Madleens initiative with the same goal of breaking the Gaza blockade. Vessel movements can be tracked here: https://freedomflotilla.org/ffc-tmtg-conscience-tracker/. This market will resolve "Yes" if Israeli military or law enforcement personnel physically board another vessel participating in the initiative, without authorization or consent from the crew or organizers, by October 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Escorting, shadowing, or issuing warnings without boarding does not count. Boarding with the crew’s consent also will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.