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Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$596.8K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJun 9, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 9, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by June 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, Israeli military or law enforcement personnel physically board the vessel Madleen, while carrying Greta Thunberg, without authorization or consent from the crew or organizers. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Escorting, shadowing, or issuing warnings without boarding does not count. Boarding with the crew’s consent also will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 8:58:49 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.