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Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$66.3K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCDec 8, 2023
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 8, 2023
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by Dec 8, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, Israel initiates a major ground offensive within Gaza, south of Wadi Gaza. A qualifying "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves Israeli ground forces, and does not include smaller raids or special operations. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event occurs before this market's expiry date, this market will resolve immediately. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 2:11:26 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.