
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces a humanitarian pause of at least 24 consecutive hours between November 12 and 30, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a humanitarian pause is defined as "A temporary pause in the fighting for a short period for humanitarian purposes, one that may be designed to allow people to leave a conflict area, repairs to be made, or bring in humanitarian relief or other supplies, etc." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary Israel announces a 24h+ humanitarian pause will take place, regardless of whether it actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 8:28:37 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.