Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

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24h volume$1.3K

Total volume$92.3K

Liquidity$21.3K

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

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Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Accepting ordersMarket odds4%

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Yes4%Polymarket estimate

No96%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $21.3K
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 3.0¢ / 5.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.