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Will Iran or Pakistan declare war against the other in January?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$10.3K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCJan 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Iran or Pakistan declare war against the other in January?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $5.1K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pakistan officially declares war against Iran, or Iran officially declares war against Pakistan by January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Declarations of war must be clear, and explicit. The market will resolve to "No" if no such official declaration of war is made from Pakistan or Iran against the other by the specified date. Only Iran and Pakistan themselves declaring war will suffice to resolve this market - e.g. if Pakistani militant group Jaish al-Adl declared war against Iran it will not count for this market.