Will India lift Indus Water Treaty suspension before July?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$35K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCJun 30, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds0%

Will India lift Indus Water Treaty suspension before July?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Jun 30, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.4¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Government of India publicly announces that it is reinstating engagement under the Indus Waters Treaty (IWT) between May 12 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official policy announcements from the Government of India ending the suspension and reinstating engagement under the Indus Waters Treaty will qualify. Informal remarks, statements contingent on future conditions, expressions of intent without a formal policy decision, partial resumptions, or any other communications that do not clearly constitute a definitive government policy announcement will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official public announcements from the Government of India however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that India has reinstated the treaty will qualify.