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Will India agree to stop buying Russian oil by August 31?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$45K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCAug 31, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will India agree to stop buying Russian oil by August 31?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Aug 31, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Government of India officially announces a full halt to imports of Russian crude oil by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Statements referencing a partial reduction, pause, or review of purchases will not qualify. An announcement will qualify regardless of if/when the policy goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the Government of India.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 2:26:13 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.