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Will ICE detain 800+ people on February 1?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$51.4K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCFeb 1, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will ICE detain 800+ people on February 1?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Feb 1, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ICE detains 800 or more individuals according to the "Detainers Lodged" in ICE's daily update for February 1, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ICE doesn't release a daily update for this date by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement X account @ICEgov (https://x.com/ICEgov).
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 7:35:17 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.