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Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
View a sample AI report This event is outside current AI coverage.
24h volume$0
Total volume$68.6K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCJan 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
AI research not covered
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah officially deploys ground forces in Israel in the ongoing war between Israel and Hamas on or before January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Deployment is defined as Hezbollah sending troops to engage in combat against Israel. This market will resolve according to a consensus of credible sources. If no such deployment occurs by the resolution date, the market will resolve to "No". Note that the market may resolve before the expiry date if Hezbollah's deployment of ground forces in the war is confirmed prior to this date.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 7:08:41 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.