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Will Hamas surrender in 2023?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
View a sample AI report This event is outside current AI coverage.
24h volume$0
Total volume$110.5K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2023
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Hamas surrender in 2023?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $3.1K
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2023
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
AI research not covered
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, Hamas officially announces a surrender in its conflict with Israel. "Surrender" refers to a formal acknowledgment of defeat, entailing a cessation of all military and hostile activities against Israel, and this must be communicated through an official statement recognized by international authorities or bodies. The market will resolve to "No" if Hamas does not officially declare such a surrender by December 31, 2023. If the event of surrender occurs before the expiry date, the market will resolve immediately. Resolution will be based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 6:49:30 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.