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Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
View a sample AI report This event is outside current AI coverage.
24h volume$0
Total volume$36.1K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCJan 15, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 15, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
AI research not covered
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases at least one hostage between December 12 and January 15, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a negotiated release of a hostage will trigger a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 7:06:00 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.