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Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$9K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2023
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $673.1
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2023
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas releases 12 or more hostages in any 24-hour period between December 1 and December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a negotiated release of hostages will trigger a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:38:59 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.