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Will Hamas allow IDF to remain in Gaza?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$146.1K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Hamas allow IDF to remain in Gaza?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.5¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the government of Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire and/or negotiated settlement which allows for Israeli military forces to continue to operate within the Gaza strip by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any deal which is either announced by both parties, or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the government of Israel and Hamas, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting that a deal has been agreed to.