Will @Grok resume replying by Friday?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$19.2K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCJul 11, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

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Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds0%

Will @Grok resume replying by Friday?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Jul 11, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

On July 8, 2025, Grok's text replies were disabled after the bot began posting antisemitic and pro-Hitler content in response to user prompts, prompting xAI to restrict replies (see:https://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/us-news/what-does-mechahitler-mean-groks-posts-on-nazi-holocaust-sparks-outrage-x-responds-101752019861958.html) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official @Grok account on X (https://x.com/Grok) posts at least 100 qualifying text-based replies to user posts between July 10, 2025, at 10:00 AM ET and July 11, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, a reply must contain substantive text and must be a direct response to a user’s post (e.g., a reply to a mention or question directed at @Grok). Replies consisting solely of images, emojis, or other non-text content will not count. Replies that are generic, repetitive, or clearly pre-programmed will not qualify. Note: This market is intended to capture a meaningful and deliberate resumption of human-like engagement by Grok and will be resolved accordingly.