Will Greenland vote for independence in 2025?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.

View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$101.6K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCApr 6, 2025

Price history

Market probability

Loading price history…

Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Will Greenland vote for independence in 2025?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Apr 6, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

Early in January 2025, Greenland's prime minister intimated there would be a referendum on independence from Denmark. You can read more about that here: https://www.politico.eu/article/greenland-prime-minister-mute-egede-independence-denmark-colonialism-donald-trump-arctic/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if: 1) A referendum on Greenland's independence from Denmark is scheduled for any point within 2025, by April 6 2025 ET. 2) That referendum passes by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Greenland's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Denmark will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Greenland, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.