Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$9K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCJun 1, 2027

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds100%

Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Jun 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 98.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

Senate elections are scheduled to be held in France on September 27, 2026. The newly constituted Senate will convene following these elections to elect its President. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gérard Larcher is reelected as President of the Senate (Président du Sénat) following the 2026 French Senate elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To count for resolution, Gérard Larcher must be formally elected as President of the Senate following the 2026 French Senate elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President is elected by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French Senate (Sénat) (senat.fr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.