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Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by September 30?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$7.8K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCSep 30, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by September 30?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Sep 30, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ghislaine Maxwell is granted a sentence reduction, transfer to a less restrictive facility, or any other formal legal benefit by the U.S. federal government in connection with cooperation or information she provides to U.S. authorities by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Qualifying cooperation may include providing testimony, depositions, or other information to federal prosecutors, law enforcement agencies, or Congress. The benefit must be explicitly linked to such cooperation, either through government statements or a consensus of credible reporting. Examples of qualifying benefits include but are not limited to: - A sentence reduction via Rule 35(b) or similar motion - A transfer to a lower-security facility tied to cooperation - Entry into witness protection A presidential commutation or pardon, will qualify regardless of if directly attributed to cooperation. Changes to her confinement not clearly tied to cooperation will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.