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Will Germany declare a state of emergency in February?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$212.6K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCFeb 28, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Germany declare a state of emergency in February?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Feb 28, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the German federal government officially declares a state of emergency ("Notstand" under the German Basic Law) at any point between February 12, 2025, and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only nationwide, federal states of emergency will count toward the resolution of this market. Partial or regional emergency measures will not. The resolution source will be official German government announcements and credible news reports.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:17:14 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.