Will GD win a majority in Georgia parliamentary election?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.

View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$332.3K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCOct 26, 2024

Price history

Market probability

Loading price history…

Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

Will GD win a majority in Georgia parliamentary election?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Oct 26, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 97.0¢ / 99.9¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if GD (kartuli otsneba – demok'rat'iuli sakartvelo, Georgian Dream - Democratic Georgia) controls 76 or more seats in the Parliament of Georgia after the results of the 2024 Georgian parliamentary election are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity official information from the Georgian government and/or information published through the official website of Georgia's Central Election Commission (https://cesko.ge/en/home) will be used.