
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Francis Ngannou officially participates in a UFC fight by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements of a fight, signing a UFC contract, or participation in exhibitions of any kind will not qualify toward this market's resolution. Only instances where Ngannou officially participates in an official UFC-sanctioned fight will count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 10:51:12 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.