
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn August 22, Ethan Evans posted on LinkedIn and X that "A CEO that I worked for seduced my wife" (see: https://www.linkedin.com/posts/ethanevansvp_a-ceo-that-i-worked-for-seduced-my-wife-in-activity-7232403648390029312-WWZd?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop). This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Amazon VP Ethan Evans publicly names the CEO who seduced his wife by August 25, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The individual will be considered named if Ethan Evans publicly states their first and last name, states either their first or last name along with accompanying details which confirm the individuals identity, or otherwise definitively confirms the identity of the individual (e.g. if someone asks whether it was a specific individual and Ethan confirms, it will count). The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Ethan Evans.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 7:53:55 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.