Loading your workspace…
All markets
Will Ethos launch a token by ___?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 4 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$148
Total volume$8.3K
Liquidity$717.9
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
4 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
October 8, 2026Accepting ordersMarket odds95.2%
Will Ethos launch a token by October 8, 2026?
Yes95.2%Polymarket estimate
No4.9%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $245.9
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 9, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 94.1¢ / 96.2¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
Get the Foretrace AI forecast
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
Fresh successful report: 1 credit. Valid shared report: free.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ethos officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Ethos after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ethos (https://x.com/ethos_network), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.