
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1 minute ETH/USDT candle titled with a date between 23 Jan '24 00:01 through 31 Jan '24 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price of 1999.99 or lower. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.binance.com, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT?_from=markets&theme=dark&type=spot with “1m” and “Original” selected on the top bar. To see the “Low” prices, mouse over individual candles and look at the value after “Low: ” at the top of the chart.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 10:40:25 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.