
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams finishes his term as Mayor of New York City without any interruptions. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will not resolve "Yes" until the office is successfully transferred from Adams to another person at the completion of his term, or until Adams is sworn into the office again at that time. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of New York, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 9:31:42 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.