Will Elon or Trump apologize first?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.

View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$12.2K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCAug 31, 2025

Price history

Market probability

Loading price history…

Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

Will Elon or Trump apologize first?

Elon100%Polymarket estimate

Trump0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Aug 31, 2025
Elon bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Elon" if an apology is issued to Donald Trump by Elon Musk by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET prior to Trump issuing an apology to Elon Musk. This market will resolve to "Trump" if an apology is issued to Elon Musk by Donald Trump by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET prior to Elon Musk issuing an apology to Donald Trump. If Elon Musk and Donald trump issue a join statement constituting a mutual apology, or if no qualifying apology is issued by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. An apology consists of any of the following: - An explicit statement using the words “apologize,” “sorry,” “regret,” “I was wrong,” or similar expressions of remorse directed at the specified individual - A public statement acknowledging fault or error in their statements or actions toward the specified individual - A retraction of previous negative statements coupled with an expression of regret or wrongdoing The following will not qualify: - Conditional apologies (e.g., “I'm sorry if…” “I would be sorry if…”) - Apologies to third parties or the public without specifically apologizing to the other party - Sarcastic or clearly insincere statements The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump and Elon Musk. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.