Loading your workspace…
All markets
Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$148.8K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJul 31, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jul 31, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.5¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk publicly supports or endorses the "One Big Beautiful Bill" by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Musk must clearly express support for the bill as a whole—e.g., calling for its passage or praising it. Support for individual components, vague or sarcastic statements, or ambiguous statements will not qualify. The "One Big Beautiful Bill" refers to the Trump administration's flagship 2025 legislative package—introduced as a budget reconciliation bill and described by Trump or the White House as the "Big Beautiful Bill." Substantial amendments or renaming will not disqualify it, so long as the bill remains a budget reconciliation bill that includes major federal tax policy changes. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.