
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksIf EIP-4844 "Proto-Danksharding" (https://eips.ethereum.org/EIPS/eip-4844) is implemented on the Ethereum mainnet by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Ethereum blockchain, which can be explored here: https://etherscan.io.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 9:04:28 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.
A research report should explain the odds, challenge the thesis, and show what could change the answer.
This event is available to explore. Closed markets do not generate new forecasts.