Will Ontario cut off electricity to the US before May?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.

View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$31.6K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCApr 30, 2025

Price history

Market probability

Loading price history…

Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Will Ontario cut off electricity to the US before May?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Apr 30, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ontario Premier Doug Ford, or the Government of Ontario acting under his leadership, officially announces that he will halt or restrict electricity exports from Ontario to the United States between March 3 and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any official announcement will qualify regardless of if/when the cuts actually occur. Temporary halts or restrictions due to natural disasters, problems with infrastructure, etc., will not count toward this market's resolution unless they are explicitly announced as part of a policy decision made by Ford's government. The primary resolution source will be information from the government of Canada or Ontario, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.