
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn February 7, Elon Musk tweeted the following: "Bring back @DOGE staffer who made inappropriate statements via a now deleted pseudonym?" (see: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1887867644814020902). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marko Elez receives a job offer from DOGE or is otherwise confirmed to have been rehired by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolutions source will be official information from DOGE or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 10:35:19 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.