Will Diddy flee the US before October?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$145.5K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCSep 30, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds0%

Will Diddy flee the US before October?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Sep 30, 2024
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

On September 16, P Diddy was arrested after being indicted by a grand jury (see https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/16/arts/music/sean-combs-diddy-indicted.html?smid=tw-nytimes&smtyp=cur). This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that P Diddy has left the United States for any length of time between September 17 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In cases where Diddy may have exited US airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than the United States for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Diddy exits US maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes". If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that P. Diddy fled the US, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.