
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Dave Portnoy sells any of his $jailstool (https://dexscreener.com/solana/etcwbb9ft7yyagpkvz6ag1qzwpjxs79tg2r7tszyup72) by Monday, February 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be verifiable on-chain information concerning Portnoy's wallet address, 5rkPDK4JnVAumgzeV2Zu8vjggMTtHdDtrsd5o9dhGZHD, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Sales from any wallet will count if the wallet is confirmed to belong to Dave Portnoy.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 7:03:26 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.