Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$6.9M

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCMay 18, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

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Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds0%

Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?

Dan0%Polymarket estimate

Simion100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: May 18, 2025
Dan bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

The 2025 Romanian presidential election runoff will be held on May 18 to determine the next President of Romania. This market will resolve to "Dan" if Nicușor Dan receives more total votes than George Simion from voters abroad (diaspora) in the second round of the 2025 Romanian presidential election. This market will resolve to "Simion" if George Simion receives more total diaspora votes than Nicușor Dan. Only votes cast outside Romania (i.e., from polling stations abroad) as reported by the Permanent Electoral Authority (Autoritatea Electorală Permanentă, AEP) and the Central Electoral Bureau (Biroul Electoral Central, BEC) will be counted for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the Validated Results of the election, including the diaspora breakdown, as published shortly after the election (see: https://prezenta.roaep.ro/). If the diaspora results are not published or are contested, this market will remain open until official vote totals from abroad are validated and released by the Constitutional Court.