
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn Oct 24, 2023 the California DMV announced they had suspended Cruise’s driverless taxis in SF, citing safety concerns (see https://x.com/Cruise/status/1716877217995894934?s=20). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cruise relaunches its driverless taxi operations in San Francisco by Dec 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A “relaunch” requires Cruise to resume driverless operations in San Francisco, and does not include mere tests and demonstrations. The resolution source will be information from Cruise, in addition to credible media reporting.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 10:14:49 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.