Loading your workspace…
All markets
Will courts block Trump's National Guard deployment by Friday?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$40.9K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJun 13, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Will courts block Trump's National Guard deployment by Friday?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 13, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. court issues an order that blocks, restrains, or otherwise prohibits the federal deployment of the National Guard to Los Angeles by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any official court action that temporarily halts, limits, or permanently blocks the implementation of the National Guard deployment will qualify, including preliminary injunctions, temporary restraining orders, or final rulings. The deployment must be blocked specifically on the basis of its federalization or use in response to the ongoing unrest in Los Angeles. Court orders that merely address related matters (e.g., conduct of individual troops or general use-of-force guidelines) without restricting the deployment itself will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from U.S. courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.